hGH phase4
Transkript
hGH phase4
Welcome Address Dr. Temel Kotil President of AEA, CEO of Turkish Airlines Istanbul, 17 October 2014 AEA MEMBERS: TO THE POWER OF 30 AEA’S STRATEGIC PARTNERS AEA AIRLINES’ TRAFFIC – AN ENGINE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH 420 400 mill million passengers Transported by all AEA member airlines, estimated result annual 2014 13 million more Estimated growth in passenger numbers, transported by all AEA member airlines, 2014 compared to 2013 200 mill 100 mill. Passengers 5.5 million tonnes of cargo Transported by all AEA member airlines, estimated result annual 2014 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 AEA AIRLINES ARE INVESTING 745 new aircraft on order Source: Ascend, status as at 10/2014 73 US$ bn value of investment Source: Ascend, status as at 10/2014, value is expressed in Ascend full life base values AEA AIRLINES CREATE EUROPEAN EMPLOYMENT 370,000 jobs Direct employment created by AEA member airlines, 2013 AEA AIRLINES’ CONTRIBUTION TO EUROPEAN CONNECTIVITY 620 destinations Source: AEA member airlines’ network, Innovata, June 2014 160 countries Source: AEA member airlines’ network, Innovata, June 2014 +150 city-pairs Source: AEA member airlines’ network, Innovata, June 2014 vs June 2013 AEA IS ACTIVELY DEALING WITH CHALLENGES AEA COMMUNICATION YOUR AEA TEAM … …. thanks you for your Support PASSENGER TRAFFIC FLOW DEVELOPMENT Total Scheduled Revenue Passenger-Kilometers To/From and Intra Regions (trillions) RPK (2014F) Total Revenue (2014F) Schd. Passenger (2014F) 6.1 Trillion 3.3 Billion 745 Billion USD (2013 -2014 5.8% growth) (2013 -2014 5.6% growth) (2013 -2014 5.3% growth) 2013 2033 7.4 4.6 3.9 2.0 2.2 2.0 0.6 Europe 2.2 1.9 Asia Pacific 0.3 0.9 0.6 North America Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook 2013-2033, IATA Industry Financial Forecast March 2014 11 Latin America Africa Middle East DRIVING THE CENTER OF GRAVITY OF TRAFFIC TO THE SOUTH AND EAST Until recently, the airline industry was viewed as the center of Europe After 2020, the industry will move to the center to the East Cities,like Istanbul, Doha, Abu Dhabi and Dubai, will play a key role as centers of the new attraction Source: Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012 Geographic centre of gravity of departing/arriving/connecting passengers per city Traffic as month of September; estimates for historic passenger derived from offered seats; respective centres of gravity as median of city coordinates weighted by passenger traffic 12 MARKET SHARE OF AIRLINES BY REGION • • Market share of European carriers has been going steady. But the picture may change in the future: market share can be lost to Asian and Middle Eastern carriers. Africa Asia/Southwest Pacific Europe Latin America Middle East North America 100% 90% 80% 38% 37% 36% 36% 35% 35% 33% 32% 31% 60% 3% 5% 3% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 29% 28% 27% 26% 8% 5% 4% 6% 5% 7% 5% 7% 5% 5% 6% 4% 7% 5% 5% 5% 9% 5% 28% 29% 28% 27% 27% 27% 27% 70% 3% 5% 30% 50% 18% 12% 7% 22% 27% 26% 27% 27% 27% 27% 26% 27% 25% 27% 27% 28% 28% 28% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 34% 25% 0% 2% 2000 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 40% 26% 30% 20% 10% Source: 2000-2013 data is drived from IATA Carrier Tracker Report, 2032 values are from Airbus 2013 GMF. 13 … … 2032 PICTURE OF TODAY AND TOMORROW, AIRPORT GROWTHS Millions Asia Pasific & Middle East airports has been growing at least 2 times faster than European airports. 2013 Passenger Number • ATL 100 PEK, 160 mil. 90 80 ORD HND LHR 70 CDG DFW 60 DENJFK DUB DXB HKG FRA BKK SIN CAN IST CGK PVGKUL AMS SFO CLT MIA 50 MAD LAX ICN PHX MUCSYD SHA EWR MCO 40 DEL GRU MNL DTW BCN FCO SEA NRT MEL TPE PHL SZX LGW CPH BOS MEX 30 ZRH OSL FLL DME BOM LGA IAD AYT HGH PMI BRU VIE BNEDUS GMP 20 DCA MDW MAN CAI JNB CMN 10 CPT CTU KMG BOG SVO JED XIY DOH RUH AUH 0 -5% 0% Afrika Africa 5% Asya AsiaPasifik Pasific 10% Avrupa Europe L.L.Amerika America 15% 20% 2008-2013 Annual Passenger Growth (CAGR) Ortadoğu Middle East Buble width: Forecasted 2021 airport passengers Growth rates are forecast by our analyst team based on ACI 2012 country passenger forecast, last 10 year growth rate of airports, regional growth expectations of Airbus&boeing 14 N. America K. Amerika INTERNATIONAL PASSENGER GROWTH • Although growth rate of international passengers at European airports will be lower than the rest of the world, Europe will still have the biggest international passenger share. International Passenger Growth Regionally (2011 - 2031) 2,500 Europe 2031 Passenger Number 2,000 Asia - Pasific 1,500 Average 1,000 North America Latin America 500 0 2.5% Middle East Africa 3.0% 3.5% *The diameter of spheres show extra passenger number in 2031 compare to 2011 Source: ACI 2012-2031 Traffic Forecast 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 2011-2031 Annual Average Growth (CAGR) 15 LOBBYING CHALLENGE SOME MAJOR TOPICS Noise AEA IS ACTIVELY DEALING WITH CHALLENGES WHO WE ARE Network Aircraft Budget Human Capital Passenger / Our Boss AIRLINES VS. REGULATIONS ABOUT TURKISH AIRLINES 30% 60 Turkish Airlines’ Passenger Numbers 48.1 32.7 20 16.9 14 10 16 10.3 10.4 5 5 5 11.9 6 6 5 7 7 8 9 10 12 23% 23% 17% 15% 15% 13% 12p 32 9% 36 6% 6% 6% 5% 28 17% 14% 6% 4% 5% 2% 26 2% 0% 23 22.6 19% 19% 10% 29.1 25.1 27% 46 15% 39 19.7 19% 20% 40 30 25% 55.6 2004 – 2014: CAGR=17% 50 TK Vs. World RPK Growth % 56 -2% -5% 18 -4% 16 13 -1% -3% World RPK Growth THY RPK Growth Log. (World RPK Growth) Log. (THY RPK Growth) 2003 – 2013 Passenger Growth Rates 16 14 15 12 11 10 20 363% 23 6 258% 0 Domestic Source: IATA, DHMI International 2014F 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 -4 76% Total world 21 tr tk 5% 6% AVIATION IN TURKEY Network Coverage # of aircraft 162 in 2003, with an increase of %172, reached to 441today. Revenue $2.2 billion in 2003, $21 billion in 2013. International passenger number 25.3 million in 2003, will reach to 81 million in 2014. # of airports 26 in 2003, 52 in 2014 with increase of %100. 3. AIRPORT IN ISTANBUL 76.5 km2 Area Third Airport 3rd Bridge 500 Aircraft Park Positions Black Sea 6 Runways Istanbul 4 Terminals 150 million PASSENGERS CAPACITY (Phase4) A candidate for Atatürk International Airport Sabiha Gökçen 3rd Biggest (After Phase 1) & Biggest (After All Phases) in the World 23 Enjoy your stay in Istanbul Dr. Temel Kotil President of the Association of European Airlines & CEO of Turkish Airlines